Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.161274 0.172617 0.184471 0.197803 0.212407 0.227946 0.245770
2025-12-28 0.140220 0.156559 0.174595 0.196081 0.221110 0.249504 0.284376
2026-01-04 0.130094 0.149405 0.171524 0.198939 0.232291 0.271918 0.323121
2026-01-11 0.120587 0.141510 0.166169 0.197697 0.237403 0.286387 0.352399
2026-01-18 0.112387 0.134251 0.160635 0.195260 0.240169 0.297396 0.377422
2026-01-25 0.105081 0.127428 0.154946 0.191879 0.241026 0.305475 0.398639
2026-02-01 0.101845 0.125387 0.154971 0.195597 0.251107 0.326109 0.438406
2026-02-08 0.096719 0.120550 0.150999 0.193610 0.253128 0.335598 0.462842
2026-02-15 0.092860 0.117103 0.148573 0.193422 0.257423 0.348327 0.492840
2026-02-22 0.088095 0.112181 0.143865 0.189715 0.256342 0.353005 0.510708
2026-03-01 0.084786 0.109034 0.141361 0.188878 0.259230 0.363563 0.538474
2026-03-08 0.082338 0.106923 0.140139 0.189731 0.264550 0.378023 0.573661
2026-03-15 0.078770 0.103145 0.136458 0.186871 0.264185 0.383769 0.595141
2026-03-22 0.075904 0.100230 0.133864 0.185464 0.265939 0.392963 0.623393
2026-03-29 0.074484 0.099280 0.134008 0.188117 0.274123 0.413066 0.672805
2026-04-05 0.072053 0.096771 0.131758 0.186962 0.276095 0.422898 0.704368
2026-04-12 0.069471 0.093939 0.128900 0.184695 0.276071 0.429247 0.729878
2026-04-19 0.066813 0.090894 0.125595 0.181547 0.274369 0.432493 0.749589
2026-04-26 0.066071 0.090635 0.126445 0.185008 0.283914 0.456241 0.812510
2026-05-03 0.064005 0.088327 0.124082 0.183158 0.284241 0.463303 0.841976
2026-05-10 0.062473 0.086764 0.122795 0.182984 0.287431 0.475814 0.884235
2026-05-17 0.060230 0.084049 0.119618 0.179532 0.284618 0.476778 0.901452
2026-05-24 0.058736 0.082428 0.118089 0.178753 0.286519 0.486858 0.940008